Geopolitics

The following theses are developed and explained in my forthcoming book After Pax Americana.  Social Origins of Geopolitical Disarray.

A serious crisis, an international conflict, acute social disorganization, or a loss in the unified control over the power apparatus can open up the doors to a general insurrection.

The current wave of right-wing populism in the West is a far cry from historical and progressive populisms in the developing world.  It is narrow minded, reactionary, persecutory, and oblivious to consequences.  This essay explores the geopolitical consequences of the trend.

The new American administration faces the most significant shift in great-power relations since the collapse of the Soviet Union.  Since the administration represents a change in regime in the US, the geopolitical consequences will be momentous as well.  They will be sold as an American revival, but may amount to a belligerent and fitful decline.

For the first time in decades in Cuba the New Year will be a year without Fidel.  The dawn comes and he is no longer there.  But life goes on towards an uncertain future.  Other dawns and other roosters sing today.  They bring back to mind a song from the Spanish civil war:  When the black rooster crows, / It's because the day has ended, / If the red rooster crowed, / Another would crow too.